New Mexico House 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Yvette Herrell an 82% chance of winning the New Mexico House 2020 primary. Yvette Herrell won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Yvette Herrell — 82% model odds (won)
  2. Xochitl Torres Small — 18% model odds
  3. Steve Jones — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts