New Jersey House 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Mikie Sherrill a 70% chance of winning the New Jersey House 2020 primary. Mikie Sherrill won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Mikie Sherrill — 70% model odds (won)
  2. Rosemary Becchi — 30% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts