New Jersey House 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Tom Malinowski a 63% chance of winning the New Jersey House 2020 primary. Tom Malinowski won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Tom Malinowski — 63% model odds (won)
2. Thomas H., Jr. Kean — 37% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts