New Jersey House 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Frank, Jr. Pallone a 95% chance of winning the New Jersey House 2020 primary. Frank, Jr. Pallone won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Frank, Jr. Pallone — 95% model odds (won)
  2. Christian Onuoha — 5% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts