New Jersey House 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Josh Gottheimer an 88% chance of winning the New Jersey House 2020 primary. Josh Gottheimer won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Josh Gottheimer — 88% model odds (won)
  2. Frank T. Pallotta — 12% model odds
  3. Louis A. Vellucci — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts