New Jersey House 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Jeff Van Drew a 100% chance of winning the New Jersey House 2020 primary. Jeff Van Drew won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Jeff Van Drew — 100% model odds (won)
  2. Amy Kennedy — 0% model odds
  3. Jenna Harvey — 0% model odds
  4. Jesse Ehrnstrom — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts