New Jersey House 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Donald W. Norcross a 95% chance of winning the New Jersey House 2020 primary. Donald W. Norcross won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Donald W. Norcross — 95% model odds (won)
  2. Claire H. Gustafson — 5% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts