North Carolina Senate 2020 — Model Retrospective
The model's final pre-election forecast gave Cal Cunningham a 56% chance of winning the North Carolina Senate 2020 primary. Thom Tilllis won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.
- Cal Cunningham — 56% model odds
- Thom Tilllis — 44% model odds (won)
- Shannon W. Bray — 0% model odds
- Kevin E. Hayes — 0% model odds