North Carolina House 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Madison Cawthorn a 59% chance of winning the North Carolina House 2020 primary. Madison Cawthorn won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Madison Cawthorn — 59% model odds (won)
  2. Tamara Zwinak — 33% model odds
  3. Moe Davis — 8% model odds
  4. Tracey Debruhl — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts