North Carolina House 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Patrick Mchenry a 100% chance of winning the North Carolina House 2020 primary. Patrick Mchenry won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Patrick Mchenry — 100% model odds (won)
  2. David Parker — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts