North Carolina House 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave G.K. Butterfield a 63% chance of winning the North Carolina House 2020 primary. G.K. Butterfield won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. G.K. Butterfield — 63% model odds (won)
  2. Sandy Smith — 37% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts