Montana House 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Matt Rosendale a 57% chance of winning the Montana House 2020 primary. Matt Rosendale won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Matt Rosendale — 57% model odds (won)
  2. Kathleen Williams — 43% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts