Missouri House 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Sam Graves a 95% chance of winning the Missouri House 2020 primary. Sam Graves won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Sam Graves — 95% model odds (won)
  2. Gena L. Ross — 5% model odds
  3. Jim Higgins — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts