Missouri House 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Vicky Hartzler a 95% chance of winning the Missouri House 2020 primary. Vicky Hartzler won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Vicky Hartzler — 95% model odds (won)
  2. Lindsey Simmons — 5% model odds
  3. Steven K. Koonse — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts