Missouri House 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Ann Wagner an 88% chance of winning the Missouri House 2020 primary. Ann Wagner won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Ann Wagner — 88% model odds (won)
2. Jill Schupp — 12% model odds
3. Martin Schulte — 0% model odds
4. Gina Bufe — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts