Minnesota Senate 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Tina Smith a 95% chance of winning the Minnesota Senate 2020 primary. Tina Smith won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Tina Smith — 95% model odds (won)
  2. Jason Lewis — 5% model odds
  3. Kevin O'Connor — 0% model odds
  4. Oliver Steinberg — 0% model odds
  5. Scattered — 0% model odds
  6. Rob, Jr. Barrett — 0% model odds
  7. George A., Jr. Dennis — 0% model odds
  8. Stephen W. Carlson — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts