Minnesota House 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Michelle Fischbach an 87% chance of winning the Minnesota House 2020 primary. Michelle Fischbach won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Michelle Fischbach — 87% model odds (won)
  2. Collin C. Peterson — 13% model odds
  3. Slater Johnson — 0% model odds
  4. Rae Hart Anderson — 0% model odds
  5. Scattered — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts