Minnesota House 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Tom Emmer an 88% chance of winning the Minnesota House 2020 primary. Tom Emmer won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Tom Emmer — 88% model odds (won)
  2. Tawnja Zahradka — 12% model odds
  3. Scattered — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts