Minnesota House 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Ilhan Omar a 95% chance of winning the Minnesota House 2020 primary. Ilhan Omar won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Ilhan Omar — 95% model odds (won)
2. Lacy Johnson — 5% model odds
3. Michael Moore — 0% model odds
4. Scattered — 0% model odds
5. Toya Woodland — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts