Minnesota House 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Kendall Qualls a 63% chance of winning the Minnesota House 2020 primary. Dean Phillips won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.

  1. Kendall Qualls — 63% model odds
  2. Dean Phillips — 37% model odds (won)
  3. Scattered — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts