Michigan House 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Brenda Lawrence a 100% chance of winning the Michigan House 2020 primary. Brenda Lawrence won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Brenda Lawrence — 100% model odds (won)
  2. Robert Vance Patrick — 0% model odds
  3. Lisa Lane Gioia — 0% model odds
  4. Philip Kolody — 0% model odds
  5. Clyde K. Shabazz — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts