Michigan House 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Haley Stevens an 81% chance of winning the Michigan House 2020 primary. Haley Stevens won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Haley Stevens — 81% model odds (won)
  2. Eric S. Esshaki — 19% model odds
  3. Leonard Schwartz — 0% model odds
  4. Frank Acosta — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts