Michigan House 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Elissa Slotkin a 57% chance of winning the Michigan House 2020 primary. Elissa Slotkin won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Elissa Slotkin — 57% model odds (won)
  2. Paul Junge — 43% model odds
  3. Joe Hartman — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts