Michigan House 2020 — Model Retrospective
The model's final pre-election forecast gave Jon Hoadley a 70% chance of winning the Michigan House 2020 primary. Fred Upton won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.
- Jon Hoadley — 70% model odds
- Fred Upton — 15% model odds (won)
- John Lawrence — 15% model odds
- Jeff Depoy — 0% model odds
- Jerry Solis — 0% model odds