Michigan House 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Daniel T. Kildee an 82% chance of winning the Michigan House 2020 primary. Daniel T. Kildee won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Daniel T. Kildee — 82% model odds (won)
  2. Tim Kelly — 18% model odds
  3. Kathy Goodwin — 0% model odds
  4. James Harris — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts