California House 2014 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Nancy Pelosi a 44% chance of winning the California House 2014 primary. Nancy Pelosi won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Nancy Pelosi — 44% model odds (won)
  2. David Peterson — 30% model odds (won)
  3. Michael Steger — 26% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts