Michigan House 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave John Moolenaar a 45% chance of winning the Michigan House 2020 primary. John Moolenaar won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. John Moolenaar — 45% model odds (won)
  2. Amy Slepr — 45% model odds
  3. Jerry Hilliard — 10% model odds
  4. David Canny — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts