Maryland House 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave David J. Trone a 95% chance of winning the Maryland House 2020 primary. David J. Trone won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. David J. Trone — 95% model odds (won)
  2. George Gluck — 5% model odds
  3. Neil C. Parrott — 0% model odds
  4. Scattered — 0% model odds
  5. Jason Herrick — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts