Kentucky Senate 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Mitch Mcconnell a 74% chance of winning the Kentucky Senate 2020 primary. Mitch Mcconnell won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Mitch Mcconnell — 74% model odds (won)
  2. Amy Mcgrath — 26% model odds
  3. Brad Barron — 0% model odds
  4. Paul John Frangedakis — 0% model odds
  5. Daniel Cobble — 0% model odds
  6. Randall Lee Teegarden — 0% model odds
  7. Harold H. Fitzpatrick — 0% model odds
  8. Demetra Wysinger — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts