Kentucky House 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Harold "Hal" Rogers a 95% chance of winning the Kentucky House 2020 primary. Harold "Hal" Rogers won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Harold "Hal" Rogers — 95% model odds (won)
  2. Matthew Ryan Best — 5% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts