California House 2014 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Mark Desaulnier a 65% chance of winning the California House 2014 primary. Mark Desaulnier won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Mark Desaulnier — 65% model odds (won)
  2. Ki Ingersol — 16% model odds
  3. Cheryl Sudduth — 11% model odds (won)
  4. Tony Daysog — 7% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts