Illinois House 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Cheri Bustos a 95% chance of winning the Illinois House 2020 primary. Cheri Bustos won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Cheri Bustos — 95% model odds (won)
  2. Esther Joy King — 5% model odds
  3. General Parker — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts