Illinois House 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Lauren Underwood a 50% chance of winning the Illinois House 2020 primary. Lauren Underwood won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Lauren Underwood — 50% model odds (won)
  2. Jim Oberweis — 50% model odds
  3. Joseph Monack — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts