Illinois House 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Rodney Davis a 68% chance of winning the Illinois House 2020 primary. Rodney Davis won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Rodney Davis — 68% model odds (won)
  2. Betsy Dirksen Longdrigan — 32% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts