Illinois House 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Sean Casten a 63% chance of winning the Illinois House 2020 primary. Sean Casten won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Sean Casten — 63% model odds (won)
  2. Jeanne Ives — 37% model odds
  3. Bill Redpath — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts