Idaho House 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Mike Simpson an 88% chance of winning the Idaho House 2020 primary. Mike Simpson won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Mike Simpson — 88% model odds (won)
  2. C. Aaron Swisher — 12% model odds
  3. Pro-Life — 0% model odds
  4. Idaho Sierra Law — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts