Iowa Senate 2020 — Model Retrospective
The model's final pre-election forecast gave Joni Ernst a 67% chance of winning the Iowa Senate 2020 primary. Joni Ernst won, matching the model's top pick.
- Joni Ernst — 67% model odds (won)
- Theresa Greenfield — 33% model odds
- Rick Stewart — 0% model odds
- Suzanne Herzog — 0% model odds
- Scattered — 0% model odds