Iowa House 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Mariannette Miller-Meeks a 50% chance of winning the Iowa House 2020 primary. Mariannette Miller-Meeks won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Mariannette Miller-Meeks — 50% model odds (won)
2. Rita R. Hart — 50% model odds
3. Scattered — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts