Iowa House 2020 — Model Retrospective
The model's final pre-election forecast gave Abby Finkenauer a 60% chance of winning the Iowa House 2020 primary. Ashley Hinson won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.
- Abby Finkenauer — 60% model odds
- Ashley Hinson — 40% model odds (won)
- Scattered — 0% model odds