California House 2014 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Steve Anthony Colangelo a 37% chance of winning the California House 2014 primary. Steve Anthony Colangelo won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Steve Anthony Colangelo — 37% model odds (won)
2. Antonio C. "Tony" Amador — 37% model odds (won)
3. Karen "Mathews" Davis — 26% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts