Hawaii House 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Kaiali'I Kahele a 100% chance of winning the Hawaii House 2020 primary. Kaiali'I Kahele won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Kaiali'I Kahele — 100% model odds (won)
  2. Joe Akana — 0% model odds
  3. Michelle Rose Tippens — 0% model odds
  4. Jonathan Hoomanawanui — 0% model odds
  5. Ron Burrus — 0% model odds
  6. John Giuffre — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts