GU House 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Robert Anacletus Underwood a 55% chance of winning the GU House 2020 primary. Michael F.Q. San Nicolas won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.

  1. Robert Anacletus Underwood — 55% model odds
  2. Michael F.Q. San Nicolas — 45% model odds (won)
  3. William Mendiola Castro — 0% model odds
  4. Scattered — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts