Florida House 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Maria Elvira Salazar a 64% chance of winning the Florida House 2020 primary. Maria Elvira Salazar won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Maria Elvira Salazar — 64% model odds (won)
  2. Donna Shalala — 36% model odds
  3. Frank E., Sr. Polo — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts