Florida House 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Carlos Gimenez a 67% chance of winning the Florida House 2020 primary. Carlos Gimenez won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Carlos Gimenez — 67% model odds (won)
  2. Debbie Mucarsel-Powell — 33% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts