Florida House 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Greg Steube an 89% chance of winning the Florida House 2020 primary. Greg Steube won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Greg Steube — 89% model odds (won)
  2. Allen Ellison — 11% model odds
  3. Theodore "Pink Tie" Murray — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts