Florida House 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Vern Buchanan an 88% chance of winning the Florida House 2020 primary. Vern Buchanan won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Vern Buchanan — 88% model odds (won)
  2. Margaret Good — 12% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts