Florida House 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Anna Paulina Luna a 56% chance of winning the Florida House 2020 primary. Charlie Crist won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.

  1. Anna Paulina Luna — 56% model odds
  2. Charlie Crist — 44% model odds (won)
  3. Jacob Curnow — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts