Florida House 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Stephanie Murphy a 50% chance of winning the Florida House 2020 primary. Stephanie Murphy won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Stephanie Murphy — 50% model odds (won)
2. Leo Valentin — 50% model odds
3. William R. Garlington — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts