California House 2014 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Doug Ose a 37% chance of winning the California House 2014 primary. Doug Ose won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Doug Ose — 37% model odds (won)
  2. Elizabeth Emken — 32% model odds
  3. Igor Birman — 31% model odds (won)

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts