Florida House 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Matt Gaetz a 95% chance of winning the Florida House 2020 primary. Matt Gaetz won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Matt Gaetz — 95% model odds (won)
  2. Phil Ehr — 5% model odds
  3. Albert Oram — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts